Pod Save America - What Is the Polling Telling Us About 2026? + Gov. Andy Beshear (Crooked Con)

Live from Crooked Con, Dan Pfeiffer talks with Sarah Longwell, David Shor, Terrance Woodbury, and Carlos Odio about what the voters are telling us about what they’re looking for in this unprecedented moment, how we can recapture the groups that moved away from Democrats last year, and how much should we pay attention to polling. Then, Governor Andy Beshear sits down with Alex Wagner to explain how he broke the rules, and how other Democrats can follow suit.
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Duration: 1h 36m
Broadcast on: 16 Nov 2025
Audio Format: other

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We are Live at Crooked Con. I'm so pleased to see so many data nerds here. This is very exciting. In this panel I'm going to be talking to some of the very best opinion researchers in the business. To talk about what happened on Tuesday with the polling is telling us about 2026 and beyond. Joining me are Sarah Longwell of the Bullwork. Terrence Rivera-Pitt Strategies. David Shore Blue Rose Research.

And Carlos Odeo of Ickis Research. Okay. The mood in this room as you can tell is pretty good because what happened on Tuesday. Why would it happen? The sixth first one? Actually, I actually think I lost on Tuesday. But I want to talk about like why we should be happy about it. Maybe why we should trim our enthusiasm. I'm going to go down. We're going to start by asking each one of you to take. Give me just one takeaway you have from the results either across the board or in the race that you think is interesting and maybe tells us something about what's to come. Sarah? Democrats are super mad and they showed up to say how mad they are. I bet my team, even as mad as I've listened to Democrats be, I bet my team that I would take them to Vegas if Abigail Spanberger beats 13 plus. Okay. If she went above that and if Mikey Cheryl went above 7 plus. So I have to take my whole team to Vegas now. Are you hiring? Let's see. When you invest in the base, you win. We saw the reassembling of our base electorate where we did 20 points better amongst young folks in Virginia. 20 points better amongst Latino voters in Virginia. 11 points better amongst Black voters in Virginia. We have seen cycle over cycle erosion with many of these base voters. So to see us not only recover what we lost in 2024 but to actually build on some of that coalition gives me a lot of hope about what we can do in the future. Me, the real takeaway, I think a lot of people on both the Democratic and Republican side had convinced themselves that Donald Trump had rewritten the rules of politics and that was wrong. Gravity is real. If you do a bunch of unpopular things that piss off a lot of people, then you get punished for it and it's nice to see democracy working. Yes. He has bent the rules of politics but he

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