Adelaide CCI4* - The Preview Show and Andrew Hoy Interview
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This week attention turns to Adelaide and the last CCI4* of the 2018 season. We pick some potential winners, pitting two predictive models against each other for the first time.
We are also delighted to be joined by Andrew Hoy, who gives us stories from his past (and plans for his future) and talks about what the fans will be enjoying this weekend at the show.
Hello and welcome to the eventing podcast and it's a pretty exciting episode because it is the last four star of the 2018 eventing season taking place this weekend it is Adelaide down under and we have seen some really incredible horses coming out of Adelaide that have actually been competitive Olympic level, world level, over in Europe, we've got the likes of CP qualified Virgil, Barry Morrison, Seishon. It's a really, really good opportunity to see some incredible horses down under. Yeah, exactly. It's a really big opportunity for us to be able to look at the stars on that side of the world, which at times we can become a little bit obsessed with what's going on in Europe. I suppose because we're based, Nicole, and the US always has really strong coverage. Now, there is such talent on display over in Australia that this weekend, you know, we get another opportunity to look at exactly what's coming true and as you say, you know, it's not that long ago since we had Shane Rose won two with CP qualified in Virgil. Balmoral sensation was third back in 2015 and then went on to win it last year. Meghan Jones, short to me. I mean, Clark Johnston was basically a shoe in for the New Zealand team for the World Games this summer with Balmoral sensation. And he actually didn't get to go because the horse had an injury in the summer. But, you know, there's horses here that will be putting actually their head above the parapet, even looking forward to Tokyo. The Andrew Hoy result would vastly the world games, you know, finishing force finishing on his dress score. That was a key part of making sure that the Australian team are qualified for Tokyo and they are now qualified. They got that sixth place there in. So, this is a big opportunity for a number of those Australian writers to go and lay down a challenge. Like we've seen Chris Burton and everything he's doing on this side of the world, we've talked about that speed. Andrew Hoy, as we say, has just come off that really big world games result. But from an Australian point of view, I would suggest this is an opportunity. You're going to see people like Andrew Cooper coming through. Sure, Taney, obviously, really, really experienced Andrew Cooper. Friend of the show. Friend of the show. I don't know if he knows. Does Andrew Cooper know he's a friend of the show? No, we're his friend, really. It's a one way. He's not our friend. No, he's our friend. We're not his friend. That's probably the way to put it. Yep, I think you'll have to listen back to some previous pods to understand why we love Andrew Cooper so much or why Jenny and Nicole, I should say, love Andrew Cooper so much. To be fair, Andrew Cooper has some pretty hot Adelaide form as well. Well, come on, Tim, because he was fourth last year and third in 2016 as well. So comes forward with another ride in Hunter's Hill in 2018. But well, anyway, I'm getting jumping way ahead of myself just to talk about Andrew Cooper. So we'll come back to him. And actually, I'll let you carry on from where you were. I just digress. Well, I mean, you're right, Nicole. I mean, all I was mentioning is there's so much talent coming through home grown talent and talent still based in Australia. Really big opportunity. Now you've got, you know, you're going to have what? You're only going to have one more. You're only going to have one more Adelaide before Tokyo. Is that right? You know, this one. Well, to include in this one. But yes. Yeah. To include in this one. Yeah. But it's a big, early marker. I mean, it's a long way out from Tokyo and we shouldn't just become obsessed with championships because Adelaide in itself is, you know, such a huge event. But these are really big opportunities for, I would suggest, a lot of Australian riders who we're going to see this weekend to really lay down a marker on how their next, you know, 18 months is going to, is going to pan out. And actually, you've got the likes of Andrew Cooper and the young guns coming through. We'll come on to a few of them shortly, but then you've got the likes of Stuart Tinney, who is a real stalwart of Australian teams in the past. And actually, he was third last year with Warhawk, but he, am I right in saying is bidding to become the only person to win it three times? Yeah, exactly. I mean, he's by far the most experienced rider in the field as you would expect. This is his 15th appearance at Adelaide. I mean, it's 15 runs in the last, what's that, 10 seasons, eight completions, same as Meagan Jones. Lots of them have won it twice. And Stuart is the only one in the field, you know, from that group. So, yeah, he's gone for an historic three Adelaide wins. I tell you who else could win it twice this weekend. One horse in the field is actually returning to defend his title and that is willing apart Clifford and Hazel Shannon, who I think I put up to win Adelaide last year and things didn't quite go to plan. They picked up 50 penalties on the cross country, but they won their last event going into Adelaide and form tends to be quite a big indicator, doesn't it? Well, yeah, I mean, I guess you could say it at any event around the world, you know, bringing in that form and confidence, whether it's horse or rider is always going to be a big impact. But I suppose one of the ones when we were looking at Adelaide this week in terms of stats, you're looking at the last three winners of that four star have all won their final run coming in, you know, arriving at Adelaide. They've all come off a win as they arrive into that competition. So, of course, then we turn to what who's coming in here off a win. And as you say, one of the previous winners, winning the park Clifford is coming off a win, a win at Tamworth in the CIC three star. Who else have you got there? I think one that you're going to like CP Izzy Miyaki is one. Yeah, they're coming off a win at Albury in the CIC three star. One that I really like Nicole, who I think I'm going to be putting up for the win. Sanja Janssen's Misty Oil Valentino coming off a win as well as Pinharra and DSE Clooney coming off a win in the CCI three star a Christchurch. So you've got four horses coming in here off a win past form suggest that like that, you know, that confidence is going to be important. So certainly that's one of the ways in which we can narrow the field if there's four there. Well, we'll come on to those four in a little bit more detail very shortly, but in terms of what else you need to win to do to win at Adelaide. What's the score? You obviously coming in in good form is a good indication. What else is there? I think an interesting one for me and one we've talked about all across the four stars this year when you look at how close those scores in the four stars with the winning score and the four stars have been to that magic number of 28. We've brought it up on a number of occasions. Here, it's slightly different. When you do the multiplier, the winner, would you believe Nicole or the lowest score score that score we're aiming for is TS Jim Imo. Chris Burton won. Let me guess he went really, really fast. Chris Burton went really, really fast. Yeah, I actually have some funny for you on that. Chris Burton, let me just take four riders. Four riders here. Chris Burton has won it twice. Now, if I'm not mistaken, there is a really interesting thing. Oh, yeah, he made the time on both times that he won it. He's 100% clear inside the time record when he competes at Adelaide. I think once he was eliminated, I think it's three from four, but on all three occasions, he was inside the time. Anyway, of course, we digress with Chris Burton's speeds.
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